Tap Selections: UFC 83: Serra vs. St. Pierre II


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Here are our predictions (just the winners) for tonight’s UFC 83: Serra vs. St. Pierre II event, which will take place live from the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The PPV broadcast will begin at 10:00 PM ET. Feel free to leave your predictions as well.

Also be sure to check out Rogers Sportsnet’s panel of picks for the event. Both David and I were asked to participate.

Jamie Fitzgerald (32-15)

Georges St. Pierre
Rich Franklin
Kalib Starnes
Michael Bisping
Mac Danzig
Jason MacDonald
Rich Clementi
Jonathan Goulet
Alan Belcher
Cain Velasquez
Demian Maia

David Singer (28-19)

Georges St. Pierre
Rich Franklin
Nate Quarry
Michael Bisping
Mac Danzig
Jason MacDonald
Sam Stout
Jonathan Goulet
Alan Belcher
Cain Velasquez
Demian Maia

Bill Reger (36-16)

Georges St. Pierre
Rich Franklin
Nate Quarry
Michael Bisping
Mac Danzig
Joe Doerksen
Sam Stout
Jonathan Goulet
Alan Belcher
Cain Velasquez
Demian Maia

John Chandler (191-92)

Georges St. Pierre
Rich Franklin
Nate Quarry
Michael Bisping
Mac Danzig
Jason MacDonald
Sam Stout
Jonathan Goulet
Jason Day
Cain Velasquez
Demian Maia

Detailed analysis on each fight is after the jump, courtesy of Bill Reger.

Matt Serra vs. Georges St. Pierre – Will lightning strike twice? No way! Matt Serra has made his career off basically one great fight. He caught a poorly prepared GSP and sent him into la-la land. Its not happening again. Prognosticators like to point out Serra’s brilliant BJJ and rightfully so. This Gracie black belt and ADCC veteran has brilliant knowledge of the ground game. But when one looks at Matt’s MMA fights, he rarely utilizes it. In fact, he hasn’t submitted an opponent in 6 years! Thus I look for Georges to keep Matt at a distance with his precise striking until the takedown presents itself. From there GSP will unleash his lethal ground and pound until the referee stops the fight.

GSP by TKO, Round 2

Rich Franklin vs. Travis Lutter – The betting odds are heavily weighed in Rich Franklin’s favor and that is dangerous with a fighter as technically skilled as Travis Lutter. This will be a much closer fight than many believe. With Lutter’s technical ability, I don’t expect this fight to have a lot of fireworks. Look for Franklin to dominate the standup and stay safe when taken down by Lutter.

Rich Franklin by decision

Nate Quarry vs. Kalib Starnes – For all the physical and technical skills that Starnes has, he just does not seem to have the indomitable spirit that will take him to the contender level. While Quarry is not at that level either, and won’t be anytime soon in my opinion, he is tough as nails and will catch Starnes with his powerful punching at some point. From there, he will unleash a barrage that forces Starnes to tap out.

Nate Quarry by TKO, Round 3

Michael Bisping vs. Charles McCarthy – The middleweight debut of the Count, Michael Bisping, will likely be over quickly. Bisping will overwhelm McCarthy and while there may be a scary moment with McCarthy throwing submissions at him from the bottom, Bisping will posture up and land the punches/elbows that force the stoppage.

Michael Bisping by TKO, Round 2

Mac Danzig vs. Mark Bocek – This could be the dynamite fight of the night. Bocek is awesome on the ground, but Mac Danzig is no slouch either. Some of the ground fighting could be amazing. But that’s saying it goes to the ground. Danzig holds a decided edge in striking and experience. The hometown crowd will help Bocek, but Danzig is going to catch him and put him away.

Mac Danzig by TKO, Round 1

Jason MacDonald vs. Joe Doerksen – As John has detailed so brilliantly, this is the grudge match of the card. McDonald has really done a good job of disparaging Doerksen and flouting his previous victory over him. That will be dangerous against “el Dirte”. A motivated Doerksen is very dangerous. I see Doerksen getting his revenge and winning a tight decision over the Athlete.

Joe Doerksen by decision

Sam Stout vs. Rich Clementi – Clementi is a very dangerous fighter when the fight hits the ground, but Sam Stout is too active when stuck there to get caught. On the feet, this is no contest. Stout is multiple levels above Clementi when it comes to striking. And its his striking that will win this fight.

Sam Stout by TKO, Round 2

Kuniyoshi Hironaka vs. Jonathan Goulet – Goulet is a Jekyl and Hyde fighter, especially under the bright lights of the Octagon. Some nights he looks dynamite, others its like he collecting a paycheck. Hironaka has also had mixed results in the UFC. Easily the toughest fight to pick, I’ll go with the home crowd helping to carry Goulet to the victory.

Jonathan Goulet by decision

Alan Belcher vs. Jason Day – Belcher’s inability to fight Ricardo Almeida may be a blessing in disguise. He now faces newcomer Jason Day. Make no doubt, Day is very dangerous. But fighting in front of his home crowd and and making his debut may be too much pressure. Belcher will win this with superior striking.

Alan Belcher by TKO, Round 2

Cain Velasquez vs. Brad Morris – One of two big heavyweight prospects that the UFC has recently signed, Velasquez will take on a very tough Brad Morris. Training at AKA, Velasquez is constantly touted by its members as one to watch. Look for Velasquez to take down Morris and while he’ll use his GnP effectively, he’ll force a rollowver and sink in the rear naked choke.

Cain Velasquez by Submission (RNC), Round 1

Ed Herman vs. Demian Maia – Two dynamite grapplers meet up in this matchup. While Herman is a much better striker, he likes taking fights to the ground, entering Maia’s world. Herman is very proficient in submission grappling offensively, but often leaves himself wide open for submission attempts against him. Against Maia’s submissions, this will signify the end of the fight.

Demian Maia by Submission (Armbar), Round 2

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